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San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Camacho N.
25' Event
Barrios J.
(Penalty)
27'
Barrios J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
San Lorenzo
20%
Draws
51%
Sportivo Trinidense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Lorenzo haven't matched Sportivo Trinidense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Sportivo Trinidense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 16%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Sportivo Trinidense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.61 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Aug 3, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Feb 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Viera G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 31 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Sportivo Trinidense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Trinidense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Trinidense has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Lorenzo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: San Lorenzo scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Sportivo Trinidense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo

(Home)
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Trinidense

(Away)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)