Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
19'
19'
Magallan L.
57'
57'
Gulli F.
64'
64'
Sub
Gulli F. In: Perruzzi F.
Out: Gulli F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Velez Sarsfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Velez Sarsfield have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 22%
Velez Sarsfield Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
0:0
Aug 7, 2025 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
0:1
Aug 7, 2024 Copa Argentina
San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 37 / 100
Velez Sarsfield 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Velez Sarsfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Velez Sarsfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Lorenzo scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Velez Sarsfield has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
San Lorenzo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Velez Sarsfield
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
15 Aug
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Union de Santa Fe
09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Huracan
28 Jul
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
Page 1 of 3
Velez Sarsfield
(Away) 21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
03 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Boca Juniors
29 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
29 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
23 Aug
River Plate
2 : 2 Velez Sarsfield
08 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
30 Jul
Talleres Cordoba
1 : 3 Velez Sarsfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
