Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
7'
7'
Meza I.
12'
12'
Sub
Vergara S. In: Guerra Rojas M.
Out: Vergara S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Luis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Luis lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
- San Luis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
San Luis Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Luis | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Recoleta
1:1
May 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs San Luis
0:0
Oct 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs Recoleta
0:0
May 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs San Luis
3:1
Sep 13, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs San Luis
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Luis Compare
Top Goalscorer Madrigal G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Estigarribia G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Luis 85 / 100
Recoleta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Luis Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Luis scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
San Luis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
San Luis VS Recoleta
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Luis
(Home) 17 Oct
Magallanes
0 : 1 San Luis
12 Oct
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 1 San Luis
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0 U. Espanola
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1 San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0 U. Espanola
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2 Cobreloa
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1 S. Wanderers
13 Aug
San Luis
1 : 1 Deportes Temuco
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 17 Oct
Cobreloa
6 : 1 Recoleta
10 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Magallanes
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1 S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Cobreloa
6 : 1 Recoleta
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0 Recoleta
18 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43:29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51:30 | 51 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46:31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 45:44 | 46 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40:42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:27 | 40 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Iquique | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 42:33 | 38 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44:39 | 36 |
| 12 | D. Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26:35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28:42 | 23 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18:50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28:46 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
