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San Luis vs San Felipe Prediction & H2H Stats

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández, Quillota
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Duran V.
20'
Ramirez M.
28' Event
Gonzalez C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between San Luis and San Felipe finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
San Luis
20%
Draws
11%
San Felipe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Luis come out ahead of San Felipe on wins alone.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on San Luis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Luis Clean Sheet 68%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luis San Felipe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.69 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Luis
0:1
May 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs San Felipe
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Luis
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs San Felipe
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Luis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plaza G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Felipe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luis 95 / 100
San Felipe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luis San Felipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luis found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

San Felipe has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

San Luis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Luis VS San Felipe
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luis

(Home)
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1
S. Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

San Felipe

(Away)
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
23 Aug
Curico Unido
2 : 0
San Felipe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 25 12 9 4 43:27 45
2 S. Wanderers 25 12 8 5 40:26 44
3 San Luis 25 12 8 5 39:29 44
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 Copiapo 25 9 7 9 37:39 34
10 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
11 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 25 5 7 13 16:42 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)