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San Luis vs U. Espanola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández, Quillota
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Carreno M.
33'
Aranguiz P.
42' Event
Parada S.

AI Match Summary

San Luis in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
San Luis
20%
Draws
9%
U. Espanola
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • U. Espanola haven't matched San Luis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives San Luis a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • U. Espanola have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
San Luis Clean Sheet 20%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luis U. Espanola
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs U. Espanola
2:0
Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs San Luis
2:0
Aug 18, 2018 Liga de Primera
San Luis vs U. Espanola
0:2
May 4, 2018 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs San Luis
4:0
Aug 19, 2017 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs San Luis
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Parada S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

U. Espanola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luis 85 / 100
U. Espanola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luis U. Espanola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luis's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

U. Espanola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

San Luis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Luis VS U. Espanola
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luis

(Home)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
Page 1 of 6

U. Espanola

(Away)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1
U. Espanola
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)