Sport Picks
San Marcial vs CDFC La Calzada Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Casado M.
52'
52'
Reinaldo A.
59'
59'
Reinaldo A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CDFC La Calzada
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CDFC La Calzada lately — more wins on the board than San Marcial.
- Model gives CDFC La Calzada a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 19%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcial | CDFC La Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CDFC La Calzada
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs San Marcial
0:1
Feb 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs San Marcial
2:0
Oct 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CDFC La Calzada
1:2
Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CDFC La Calzada
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcial Compare
Top Goalscorer Reinaldo A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
CDFC La Calzada Compare
Top Goalscorer Casado M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Padilla C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcial 28 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcial CDFC La Calzada
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marcial found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
CDFC La Calzada has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: San Marcial remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Marcial VS CDFC La Calzada
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcial
(Home) 27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1 San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3 Agoncillo
12 Apr
San Marcial
0 : 4 CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 3
CDFC La Calzada
(Away) 27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2 Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1 CD Calahorra
19 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
0 : 1 Mirandes
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
03 May
Anguiano
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
19 Apr
Agoncillo
1 : 1 CDFC La Calzada
05 Apr
CD Calahorra
3 : 1 CDFC La Calzada
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
