Sport Picks
San Marcial vs River Ebro
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
River Ebro in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored River Ebro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Marcial
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Marcial have won more games recently than River Ebro.
- San Marcial are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and River Ebro have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 20%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcial | River Ebro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs San Marcial
5:1
Nov 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs River Ebro
0:1
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs River Ebro
1:0
Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs San Marcial
1:0
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs River Ebro
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcial 85 / 100
River Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcial River Ebro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marcial's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: River Ebro conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: San Marcial stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marcial VS River Ebro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcial
(Home) 18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
03 May
Haro Deportivo
0 : 0 San Marcial
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1 Comillas CF
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0 Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2 Anguiano
26 Apr
San Marcial
4 : 3 Agoncillo
12 Apr
San Marcial
0 : 4 CD Calahorra
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River Ebro
(Away) 18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0 River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0 River Ebro
06 Sept
River Ebro
1 : 2 Comillas CF
11 May
River Ebro
0 : 2 Vianes
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1 River Ebro
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0 River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0 River Ebro
04 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 1 River Ebro
16 Apr
Casalarreina CF
3 : 1 River Ebro
06 Apr
Naxara
6 : 0 River Ebro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 116:20 | 95 |
| 2 | Naxara | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 117:30 | 91 |
| 3 | SD Logrones | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 110:25 | 91 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 115:40 | 91 |
| 5 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 115:33 | 91 |
| 6 | Varea | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 91:28 | 85 |
| 7 | Alfaro | 38 | 24 | 3 | 11 | 78:56 | 75 |
| 8 | UD Logrones B | 38 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 64:45 | 65 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:60 | 45 |
| 10 | Oyonesa | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 45:74 | 39 |
| 11 | Vianes | 37 | 12 | 2 | 23 | 45:112 | 38 |
| 12 | CD Tedeon | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 43:68 | 37 |
| 13 | Arnedo | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 39:67 | 35 |
| 14 | River Ebro | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 48:80 | 35 |
| 15 | Casalarreina CF | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:78 | 33 |
| 16 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 37:85 | 33 |
| 17 | Calasancio | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 24:77 | 31 |
| 18 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 35:84 | 29 |
| 19 | San Marcial | 37 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 44:106 | 22 |
| 20 | CF Rapid | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 24:114 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
