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San Marcial vs UD Logrones B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 game between San Marcial and UD Logrones B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
San Marcial
35%
Draws
40%
UD Logrones B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Logrones B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Logrones B come out ahead of San Marcial on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans San Marcial's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UD Logrones B here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 10%
UD Logrones B Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcial UD Logrones B
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 8 26
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.14 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs San Marcial
5:0
Sep 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs UD Logrones B
1:2
Apr 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs UD Logrones B
0:1
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs San Marcial
3:2
Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs UD Logrones B
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcial 40 / 100
UD Logrones B 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcial UD Logrones B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

San Marcial scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: San Marcial stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: UD Logrones B conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcial VS UD Logrones B
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcial

(Home)
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
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UD Logrones B

(Away)
26 Sept
CE Manresa
0 : 1
UD Logrones B
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2
UD Logrones B
13 Sept
UD Logrones B
0 : 0
Barcelona B
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0
UD Logrones B
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Calahorra 38 30 5 3 116:20 95
2 Naxara 38 28 7 3 117:30 91
3 SD Logrones 38 29 4 5 110:25 91
4 Anguiano 38 29 4 5 115:40 91
5 Haro Deportivo 38 28 7 3 115:33 91
6 Varea 37 27 4 6 91:28 85
7 Alfaro 38 24 3 11 78:56 75
8 UD Logrones B 38 20 5 13 64:45 65
9 Agoncillo 38 13 6 19 50:60 45
10 Oyonesa 38 11 6 21 45:74 39
11 Vianes 37 12 2 23 45:112 38
12 CD Tedeon 38 9 10 19 43:68 37
13 Arnedo 38 8 11 19 39:67 35
14 River Ebro 37 9 8 20 48:80 35
15 Casalarreina CF 38 9 6 23 42:78 33
16 Villegas 38 9 6 23 37:85 33
17 Calasancio 38 8 7 23 24:77 31
18 CDFC La Calzada 38 8 5 25 35:84 29
19 San Marcial 37 5 7 25 44:106 22
20 CF Rapid 38 2 7 29 24:114 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)