Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Carlos Dittborn

Match Events

28'

Benavides E.

46'

Sub

Benavides E. In: Abalos A.

Out: Benavides E.

46'

Sub

Mundaca Barraza M. A. In: Riveros L.

Out: Mundaca Barraza M. A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Marcos de Arica host Coquimbo in the Copa Chile. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: San Marcos de Arica at 0.57 goals for, 1.43 against; Coquimbo at 1.63 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Coquimbo slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.66 xG vs 1.53) point toward Coquimbo. Coquimbo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

San Marcos de Arica

22%

Draws

60%

Coquimbo

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Coquimbo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Marcos de Arica.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Coquimbo.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Chile provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 15%

Coquimbo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Marcos de Arica	Coquimbo
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	15
Draws	9	10
Losses	9	4
Goals Scored	0.57	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.43	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.57	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.43	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Copa Chile

San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

May 10, 2025 Copa Chile

Coquimbo vs San Marcos de Arica

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

3:0

Jan 28, 2025 Copa Chile

San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Sep 28, 2021 Liga de Ascenso

San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

May 24, 2021 Liga de Ascenso

Coquimbo vs San Marcos de Arica

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos de Arica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44

Avg xA / game 0.28

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveros L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos de Arica 19 / 100

Coquimbo 58 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Marcos de Arica Coquimbo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COQ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos de Arica scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Coquimbo let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

San Marcos de Arica went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Coquimbo lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos de Arica VS Coquimbo

0.57 Goals Scored 1.63

1.43 Goals Conceded 0.75

43% Over 1.5 75%

29% Over 2.5 50%

29% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	5	2	3	0	7:3	9
2	Deportes Iquique	5	2	2	1	9:5	8
3	Limache	5	2	2	1	10:8	8
4	San Marcos de Arica	5	0	1	4	2:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	5	0	1	14:9	15
2	Everton	6	2	2	2	10:9	8
3	San Luis	6	1	3	2	11:10	6
4	Copiapo	6	1	1	4	3:10	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Antofagasta	6	5	1	0	12:5	16
2	Cobreloa	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	La Serena	6	2	1	3	7:10	7
4	Cobresal	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. De Chile	5	3	1	1	12:7	10
2	Union La Calera	5	2	2	1	9:6	8
3	San Felipe	5	2	1	2	6:7	7
4	S. Wanderers	5	1	0	4	7:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	5	3	1	1	12:8	10
2	O Higgins	5	2	2	1	10:7	8
3	Recoleta	5	1	2	2	5:8	5
4	U. Espanola	5	1	1	3	4:8	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nublense	5	3	1	1	8:5	10
2	Curico Unido	5	2	2	1	7:6	8
3	Rangers	5	2	0	3	4:6	6
4	U. De Concepcion	5	1	1	3	7:9	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Santa Cruz	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	A. Italiano	6	4	0	2	9:7	12
3	Palestino	6	3	1	2	12:9	10
4	Magallanes	6	0	0	6	5:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D. Concepcion	6	4	1	1	10:6	13
2	D. Puerto Montt	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
3	Huachipato	6	2	0	4	7:9	6
4	Deportes Temuco	6	1	2	3	4:8	5