Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs D. Puerto Montt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
AI Match Summary
San Marcos de Arica host D. Puerto Montt in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. D. Puerto Montt have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while San Marcos de Arica have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor San Marcos de Arica slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.19) back San Marcos de Arica to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- D. Puerto Montt have won more games recently than San Marcos de Arica.
- San Marcos de Arica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | D. Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: San Marcos de Arica scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: D. Puerto Montt conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: San Marcos de Arica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home)D. Puerto Montt
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 44 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 42:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 38:34 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40:36 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
