Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Iquique - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
Match Events
30'
30'
Ramos A.
55'
55'
Garrido B.
62'
62'
Sub
Benavides E. In: Monroy B.
Out: Benavides E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Marcos de Arica have won more games recently than Deportes Iquique.
- Model gives San Marcos de Arica a 48% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | Deportes Iquique |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Iquique
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa Chile
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Iquique
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
4:0
Jul 8, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Top Goalscorer Barboza A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Deportes Iquique Compare
Top Goalscorer Garrido B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcos de Arica 68 / 100
Deportes Iquique 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcos de Arica Deportes Iquique
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marcos de Arica found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Deportes Iquique conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
San Marcos de Arica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marcos de Arica VS Deportes Iquique
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
22 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 2 Rangers
13 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 San Felipe
01 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 1 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
Deportes Iquique
(Away) 04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2 Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1 Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1 Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2 Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2 Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1 Deportes Iquique
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2 Deportes Iquique
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0 Deportes Iquique
22 Aug
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 4 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
