Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Iquique

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Carlos Dittborn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Marcos de Arica play Deportes Iquique in the Copa Chile. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Marcos de Arica averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Deportes Iquique averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, San Marcos de Arica won 1, Deportes Iquique won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for San Marcos de Arica and 1.19 for Deportes Iquique. This points to a San Marcos de Arica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Marcos de Arica
35%
Draws
29%
Deportes Iquique
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Marcos de Arica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • San Marcos de Arica picked up more points recently compared to Deportes Iquique.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos de Arica Deportes Iquique
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.16 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa Chile
San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Iquique
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
4:0
Jul 8, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
2:1
Jun 26, 2023 Copa Chile
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos de Arica
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos de Arica 36 / 100
Deportes Iquique 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos de Arica Deportes Iquique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Marcos de Arica or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Marcos de Arica attacking → ← attacking Deportes Iquique

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos de Arica scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Deportes Iquique let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

San Marcos de Arica went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Deportes Iquique lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 35
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1U. Catolica550014:515
2Everton51229:95
3Copiapo51133:94
4San Luis50327:103
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Antofagasta541011:513
2La Serena52127:97
3Cobreloa51226:65
4Cobresal50232:62
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportes Santa Cruz54109:313
2A. Italiano53028:79
3Palestino52129:77
4Magallanes50055:140
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1D. Puerto Montt53118:410
2D. Concepcion53118:610
3Deportes Temuco51224:75
4Huachipato51046:93