Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
Match Events
3'
3'
Sagredo B.
18'
18'
Servetti C.
46'
46'
Sub
Barrios A. In: Donadell N.
Out: Barrios A.
AI Match Summary
Rangers in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rangers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- San Marcos de Arica have won more games recently than Rangers.
- Model gives San Marcos de Arica a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- San Marcos de Arica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%
Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers
1:2
Apr 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Rangers vs San Marcos de Arica
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 Liga de Primera
San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers
1:0
Nov 18, 2025 Liga de Primera
Rangers vs San Marcos de Arica
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Rangers
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Top Goalscorer Sagredo B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Servetti C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mesias Gonzalez I. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcos de Arica 77 / 100
Rangers 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcos de Arica Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Attacking prowess: San Marcos de Arica scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: San Marcos de Arica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Marcos de Arica VS Rangers
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
22 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 2 Rangers
13 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 San Felipe
01 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 1 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
Rangers
(Away) 04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0 Rangers
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2 Deportes Iquique
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2 Rangers
04 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0 Deportes Temuco
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1 Rangers
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0 Rangers
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2 Rangers
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1 Rangers
22 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 2 Rangers
12 Aug
Recoleta
4 : 2 Rangers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
