Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
AI Match Summary
San Marcos de Arica host San Luis in the Liga de Ascenso. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. San Marcos de Arica have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against San Luis's 1.76 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor San Marcos de Arica slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.50, favoring San Luis. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- San Luis carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | San Luis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marcos de Arica found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: San Luis conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
San Marcos de Arica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home)San Luis
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 43:29 | 53 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51:30 | 51 |
| 3 | S. Wanderers | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 46:31 | 47 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:40 | 46 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:26 | 45 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 40:42 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 33:27 | 40 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | 39 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 44:39 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 38:32 | 35 |
| 12 | D. Puerto Montt | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 26:35 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 26:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 28:42 | 23 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 18:50 | 23 |
| 16 | Rangers | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28:46 | 21 |
