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San Marcos vs Carlos Mannucci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Aivar F.
45'
Aivar F.
45'
Aivar F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between San Marcos and Carlos Mannucci finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carlos Mannucci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Marcos
20%
Draws
80%
Carlos Mannucci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carlos Mannucci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Carlos Mannucci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Carlos Mannucci a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Carlos Mannucci have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos Carlos Mannucci
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.33 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Carlos Mannucci
0:3
Apr 25, 2026 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs San Marcos
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Carlos Mannucci
0:1
May 18, 2025 Liga 2
Carlos Mannucci vs San Marcos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Carlos Mannucci Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizzo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 10 / 100
Carlos Mannucci 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos Carlos Mannucci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlos Mannucci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Mannucci has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

San Marcos scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS Carlos Mannucci
0 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
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Carlos Mannucci

(Away)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cajamarca 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 San Marcos 12 5 3 4 9:5 18
3 Cesar Vallejo 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
4 Carlos Mannucci 12 5 2 5 17:14 17
5 ADA Jaen 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
6 Llacuabamba 12 4 3 5 12:17 15
7 Pirata 12 3 1 8 5:16 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 14 8 4 2 25:12 28
2 Moquegua 14 7 4 3 20:13 25
3 Union Comercio 14 7 2 5 24:19 23
4 Tacna Heroica 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
5 Santos FC 14 6 3 5 21:21 21
6 U. San Martin 14 6 2 6 17:20 20
7 Deportivo Coopsol 14 3 3 8 13:25 12
8 AD Cantolao 14 0 4 10 7:21 4
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025 (Relegation Group)