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San Marcos vs Managua FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mendieta A.
38' Event
Zepeda E.
63' Event
Gomez N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between San Marcos and Managua FC finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Managua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Marcos
20%
Draws
44%
Managua FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Managua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Managua FC come out ahead of San Marcos on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Managua FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
Managua FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos Managua FC
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 19
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Managua FC
1:4
Mar 3, 2014 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs San Marcos
5:2
Jan 12, 2014 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Managua FC
1:1
Sep 29, 2013 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs San Marcos
2:1
Aug 11, 2013 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Managua FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendieta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Managua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zepeda E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 18 / 100
Managua FC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos Managua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Managua FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

San Marcos's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Managua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Solid form: San Marcos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS Managua FC
1 Goals Scored 3.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
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Managua FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 11 8 2 1 24:11 26
3 Esteli 11 6 3 2 21:8 21
4 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
5 Walter Ferreti 11 3 2 6 18:20 11
6 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
7 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
8 Matagalpa 10 3 0 7 5:20 9
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)