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San Marcos vs Ocotal

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Primera Division 2007/2008
San Marcos Logo

San Marcos

1 - 0
FT
Ocotal Logo

Ocotal

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Marcos in this Primera Division 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marcos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
San Marcos
15%
Draws
21%
Ocotal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Marcos lately — more wins on the board than Ocotal.
  • Win probability leans San Marcos's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 19%
Ocotal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos Ocotal
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.37 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2014 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Ocotal
3:1
Jan 5, 2014 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs San Marcos
2:0
Sep 22, 2013 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Ocotal
2:2
Aug 4, 2013 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs San Marcos
1:0
May 25, 2008 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs San Marcos
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 76 / 100
Ocotal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos Ocotal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ocotal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: San Marcos scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

San Marcos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS Ocotal
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
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Ocotal

(Away)
30 Apr
Ocotal
0 : 2
Diriangen
27 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 1
Ocotal
17 Apr
Esteli
3 : 2
Ocotal
13 Apr
UNAN-Managua
4 : 0
Ocotal
07 Apr
Ocotal
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 11 6 1 30:10 39
2 Ocotal 18 12 2 4 43:12 38
3 Walter Ferreti 18 11 3 4 34:13 36
4 Esteli 18 10 3 5 37:13 33
5 Real Madriz 18 6 5 7 16:27 23
6 Masatepe 18 6 3 9 23:24 21
7 Bluefields 18 5 6 7 26:33 21
8 Diablos Rojos America 18 6 2 10 19:36 20
9 San Marcos 18 4 5 9 21:39 17
10 Deportivo Jalapa 18 0 3 15 7:49 3
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2015/2016 (Clausura - Play Offs)