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San Marcos vs UNAN-Managua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ramos D.
49'
Pineda D.
52' Event
Mendieta A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between San Marcos and UNAN-Managua finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAN-Managua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
San Marcos
15%
Draws
42%
UNAN-Managua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNAN-Managua come out ahead of San Marcos on wins alone.
  • San Marcos are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 20%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos UNAN-Managua
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs UNAN-Managua
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 42 / 100
UNAN-Managua 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos UNAN-Managua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UNAN-Managua has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

San Marcos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS UNAN-Managua
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
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UNAN-Managua

(Away)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)