Sport Picks
San Marino Calcio vs Ancona Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
Zini A.
38'
38'
Zini A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between San Marino Calcio and Ancona finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ancona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ancona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- San Marino Calcio haven't matched Ancona's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ancona's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ancona have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 17%
Ancona Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marino Calcio | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.15 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Ancona
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Ancona vs San Marino Calcio
2:0
Mar 14, 2015 Serie C - Group B
Ancona vs San Marino Calcio
2:0
Oct 26, 2014 Serie C - Group B
San Marino Calcio vs Ancona
0:1
May 13, 2007 Lega Pro C1/B
San Marino Calcio vs Ancona
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marino Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Ancona Compare
Top Goalscorer Zini A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marino Calcio 23 / 100
Ancona 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marino Calcio Ancona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ancona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marino Calcio's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
San Marino Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ancona let in goals in 56% of their last 36 matches.
Scoring Trends
San Marino Calcio VS Ancona
1.17 Goals Scored 1.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marino Calcio
(Home) 17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 6
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
02 Apr
San Marino Calcio
3 : 0 Fossombrone
22 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
01 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2 Giulianova
Page 1 of 3
Ancona
(Away) 04 Oct
Ancona
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1 Ancona
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1 Ancona
12 Sept
Ancona
0 : 1 Montecchio Gallo
Page 1 of 8
27 Sept
Angelana
1 : 1 Ancona
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1 Ancona
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
26 Apr
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Ancona
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2 Ancona
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
