Sport Picks
San Marino Calcio vs Bellaria Igea
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Marino Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Marino Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Bellaria Igea.
- San Marino Calcio are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 13%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marino Calcio | Bellaria Igea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2016 Serie D - Group D
San Marino Calcio vs Bellaria Igea
1:1
Oct 18, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs San Marino Calcio
1:3
Jan 29, 2012 Lega Pro C2/A
Bellaria Igea vs San Marino Calcio
1:2
Sep 25, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
San Marino Calcio vs Bellaria Igea
2:0
Jan 23, 2011 Lega Pro C2/B
San Marino Calcio vs Bellaria Igea
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marino Calcio 40 / 100
Bellaria Igea 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marino Calcio Bellaria Igea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bellaria Igea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
San Marino Calcio found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
San Marino Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marino Calcio VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marino Calcio
(Home) 17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 7
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
02 Apr
San Marino Calcio
3 : 0 Fossombrone
22 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
01 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2 Giulianova
Page 1 of 4
Bellaria Igea
(Away) 08 May
Bellaria Igea
3 : 1 Clodiense
01 May
Parma
3 : 0 Bellaria Igea
24 Apr
Bellaria Igea
0 : 0 Mezzolara
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0 Bellaria Igea
10 Apr
Bellaria Igea
1 : 2 Arzignano
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01 May
Parma
3 : 0 Bellaria Igea
17 Apr
Altovicentino
2 : 0 Bellaria Igea
03 Apr
Fortis Juventus
2 : 3 Bellaria Igea
06 Mar
Villafranca
3 : 1 Bellaria Igea
02 Mar
Delta Porto Tolle
1 : 0 Bellaria Igea
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parma | 38 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 82:17 | 94 |
| 2 | Altovicentino | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 84:43 | 77 |
| 3 | Forli FC | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 69:46 | 69 |
| 4 | San Marino Calcio | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 55:41 | 65 |
| 5 | Correggese | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 66:49 | 64 |
| 6 | Imolese | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 63:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Delta Porto Tolle | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 68:51 | 61 |
| 8 | Ribelle | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 63:54 | 61 |
| 9 | Lentigione | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 53:51 | 59 |
| 10 | Sammaurese | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 53:49 | 54 |
| 11 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:54 | 53 |
| 12 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 55:54 | 51 |
| 13 | Ravenna | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 50:59 | 44 |
| 14 | Romagna Centro | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:51 | 44 |
| 15 | Virtus Castelfranco | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 50:59 | 42 |
| 16 | Mezzolara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:55 | 35 |
| 17 | Villafranca | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 45:63 | 33 |
| 18 | Bellaria Igea | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 38:76 | 29 |
| 19 | Clodiense | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 35:81 | 27 |
| 20 | Fortis Juventus | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 32:97 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2015/2016 (Play Out)