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San Marino Calcio vs Monticelli

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 San Marino Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between San Marino Calcio and Monticelli finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Marino Calcio
33%
Draws
27%
Monticelli
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Marino Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Marino Calcio come out ahead of Monticelli on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Marino Calcio a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 13%
Monticelli Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino Calcio Monticelli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 13
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Monticelli
0:0
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs San Marino Calcio
0:0
Feb 5, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Monticelli vs San Marino Calcio
1:1
Oct 2, 2016 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Monticelli
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino Calcio 39 / 100
Monticelli 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino Calcio Monticelli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Marino Calcio scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Monticelli has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: San Marino Calcio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

San Marino Calcio VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vis Pesaro34234761:2973
2Matelica34225766:2871
3Avezzano341614451:2662
4Pineto341512753:4157
5Aquila Calcio341510957:4055
6ASD Francavilla341411947:3853
7San Marino Calcio341561345:3551
8Vastese341561355:5051
9Sangiustese341391239:4148
10Campobasso3413101141:4045
11Castelfidardo341281443:5444
12Recanatese341271547:4743
13Agnonese341181534:3541
14Notaresco Calcio341171642:5140
15Jesina348101632:4634
16Monticelli345151425:4530
17Fabriano Cerreto34552429:6920
18Nerostellati Pratola34392219:7118