Sport Picks
San Marino U21 vs Italy U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle 
Match Events
5'
5'
Pirola L.
Assist: Volpato C.
31'
31'
Gnonto W.
39'
39'
Gnonto W.
Assist: Esposito F.
AI Match Summary
Italy U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- San Marino U21 haven't matched Italy U21's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Italy U21 taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
San Marino U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Italy U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marino U21 | Italy U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 1 | 18 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 25 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.18 | 2.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.04 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 3.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2024 Euro U21
Italy U21 vs San Marino U21
7:0
Nov 16, 2023 Euro U21
San Marino U21 vs Italy U21
0:7
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marino U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Italy U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gnonto W.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pirola L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.12
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marino U21 10 / 100
Italy U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marino U21 Italy U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
San Marino U21's goal record stands at 11% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Italy U21 has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Italy U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marino U21 VS Italy U21
0 Goals Scored 3
4.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marino U21
(Home) 24 Sept
San Marino U21
0 : 3 Kosovo U21
31 Mar
Romania U21
3 : 0 San Marino U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8 Finland U21
18 Nov
San Marino U21
0 : 5 Cyprus U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0 San Marino U21
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
San Marino U21
0 : 3 Kosovo U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8 Finland U21
18 Nov
San Marino U21
0 : 5 Cyprus U21
09 Sept
San Marino U21
0 : 2 Romania U21
07 Jun
San Marino U21
1 : 2 Malta U21
Page 1 of 3
Italy U21
(Away) 08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0 Albania U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4 Italy U21
26 Mar
Italy U21
4 : 0 North Macedonia U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4 Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1 Italy U21
Page 1 of 6
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4 Italy U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4 Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1 Italy U21
09 Sept
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1 Italy U21
22 Jun
Germany U21
3 : 2 Italy U21
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Italy U21 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 27:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Norway U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 28:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Ireland U21 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 24:12 | 19 |
| 4 | Turkey U21 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 21:15 | 13 |
| 5 | Latvia U21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 6 | San Marino U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1:51 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28:5 | 28 |
| 2 | Belgium U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Scotland U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:11 | 16 |
| 4 | Hungary U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Kazakhstan U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 6 | Malta U21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:35 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands U21 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 32:3 | 30 |
| 2 | Georgia U21 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden U21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:10 | 17 |
| 4 | North Macedonia U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8:15 | 12 |
| 5 | Moldova U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 6 | Gibraltar U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3:31 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 35:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Poland U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Bulgaria U21 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Kosovo U21 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 5 | Estonia U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:31 | 7 |
| 6 | Israel U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Finland U21 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Switzerland U21 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 4 | Albania U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 16 |
| 5 | Montenegro U21 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Armenia U21 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England U21 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 41:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Ukraine U21 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Serbia U21 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 4 | Northern Ireland U21 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Luxembourg U21 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6:23 | 8 |
| 6 | Azerbaijan U21 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4:30 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 33:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Croatia U21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:14 | 22 |
| 3 | Greece U21 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Faroe Islands U21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus U21 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6:20 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra U21 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slovenia U21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 2 | France U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Austria U21 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Cyprus U21 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:23 | 5 |
| 5 | Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 17 |
| 2 | Czech Republic U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 3 | Wales U21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Iceland U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Lithuania U21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)
