Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Marino vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

World World

World Championship 2026 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Contadini A.
16'
Golinucci A.
21' Event
Tahirovic B.
Assist: Alajbegovic K.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between San Marino and Bosnia & Herzegovina finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
San Marino
22%
Draws
60%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bosnia & Herzegovina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bosnia & Herzegovina come out ahead of San Marino on wins alone.
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
San Marino Clean Sheet 10%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino Bosnia & Herzegovina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 World Championship
San Marino vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
0:6
Jun 7, 2025 World Championship
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs San Marino
1:0
Oct 8, 2005 World Championship
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs San Marino
3:0
Jun 4, 2005 World Championship
San Marino vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Bosnia & Herzegovina Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzeko E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tahirovic B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino 18 / 100
Bosnia & Herzegovina 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino Bosnia & Herzegovina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosnia & Herzegovina has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

San Marino scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

San Marino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marino VS Bosnia & Herzegovina
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino

(Home)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
Page 1 of 6

Bosnia & Herzegovina

(Away)
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
24 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 : 1
Qatar
18 Jun
Switzerland
4 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany650116:315
2Slovakia64026:812
3Northern Ireland63037:69
4Luxembourg60061:130
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League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Switzerland642014:214
2Kosovo63216:511
3Slovenia60423:84
4Sweden60244:122
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League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Scotland641113:713
2Denmark632116:711
3Greece621310:127
4Belarus60244:172
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League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France651016:416
2Ukraine631210:1110
3Iceland621313:117
4Azerbaijan60153:161
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League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain651021:216
2Turkey641117:1213
3Georgia61057:153
4Bulgaria61053:193
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League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal641120:713
2Ireland63129:710
3Hungary622211:108
4Armenia61053:193
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League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands862027:420
2Poland852114:717
3Finland83148:1410
4Malta81254:195
5Lithuania80356:153
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League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austria861122:419
2Bosnia & Herzegovina852117:717
3Romania841319:1013
4Cyprus822411:118
5San Marino80082:390
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League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway880037:524
2Italy860221:1218
3Israel840419:2012
4Estonia81168:214
5Moldova80175:321
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League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium853029:718
2Wales851221:1116
3North Macedonia834113:1013
4Kazakhstan82249:138
5Liechtenstein80080:310
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League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England880022:024
2Albania84227:514
3Serbia84139:1013
4Latvia81255:155
5Andorra80173:161
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League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia871026:422
2Czech Republic851218:816
3Faroe Islands840411:912
4Montenegro83058:179
5Gibraltar80083:280
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