Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin Burzaco vs Argentino de Quilmes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Compagnucci M.
38' Event
Compagnucci M.
42'
Lando F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between San Martin Burzaco and Argentino de Quilmes finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Burzaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
San Martin Burzaco
35%
Draws
28%
Argentino de Quilmes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Martin Burzaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • San Martin Burzaco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans San Martin Burzaco's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 20%
Argentino de Quilmes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Burzaco Argentino de Quilmes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.9 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Argentino de Quilmes
3:2
Apr 15, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs San Martin Burzaco
3:0
Aug 22, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs San Martin Burzaco
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Argentino de Quilmes
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Quilmes vs San Martin Burzaco
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin Burzaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazarev R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geneiro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Argentino de Quilmes Compare

Top Goalscorer Compagnucci M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Burzaco 42 / 100
Argentino de Quilmes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Burzaco Argentino de Quilmes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Martin Burzaco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

San Martin Burzaco scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Argentino de Quilmes has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Burzaco VS Argentino de Quilmes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin Burzaco

(Home)
10 Oct
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1
San Martin Burzaco
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
Page 1 of 6

Argentino de Quilmes

(Away)
10 Oct
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Argentino de Quilmes
03 Oct
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1
Argentino de Quilmes
27 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
20 Sept
Dock Sud
0 : 0
Argentino de Quilmes
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)