Sport Picks
San Martin Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
6'
6'
Lazarev R.
Own Goal
20'
20'
Denis K.
22'
22'
Ordonez C.
AI Match Summary
Sportivo Italiano in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Italiano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportivo Italiano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- San Martin Burzaco haven't matched Sportivo Italiano's recent run of results.
- San Martin Burzaco are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Martin Burzaco | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano
1:2
May 27, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs San Martin Burzaco
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs San Martin Burzaco
1:0
May 20, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Martin Burzaco Compare
Top Goalscorer Lezcano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Sportivo Italiano Compare
Top Goalscorer De Cuadro J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Martin Burzaco 46 / 100
Sportivo Italiano 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Martin Burzaco Sportivo Italiano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: San Martin Burzaco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
San Martin Burzaco scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Sportivo Italiano conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
San Martin Burzaco VS Sportivo Italiano
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Martin Burzaco
(Home) 10 Oct
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1 San Martin Burzaco
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Laferrere
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Argentino de Merlo
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Laferrere
05 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0 Deportivo Armenio
25 Aug
San Martin Burzaco
3 : 2 Argentino de Quilmes
15 Aug
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0 Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Italiano
(Away) 04 Oct
Sportivo Italiano
2 : 0 Talleres Remedios Escalada
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
05 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
3 : 1 Flandria
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
29 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
21 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
08 Aug
Dep. Merlo
0 : 4 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 63:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 53:26 | 72 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 47:29 | 68 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 39 | 19 | 11 | 9 | 41:24 | 68 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 39 | 17 | 14 | 8 | 39:24 | 65 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 39 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 44:30 | 64 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 39:34 | 56 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 40:44 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 37:43 | 47 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 39 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 37:52 | 45 |
| 15 | Argentino de Merlo | 39 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 34:41 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 39 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 32:39 | 44 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 32:40 | 44 |
| 18 | Flandria | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 35:48 | 42 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 39 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 33:40 | 41 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 39 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 27:64 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
