Sport Picks
San Martin Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano
Argentina
Primera B Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
6'
6'
Lazarev R.
Own Goal
20'
20'
Denis K.
22'
22'
Ordonez C.
AI Match Summary
Sportivo Italiano in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportivo Italiano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Martin Burzaco haven't matched Sportivo Italiano's recent run of results.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 24%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Martin Burzaco | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano
1:2
May 27, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs San Martin Burzaco
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs San Martin Burzaco
1:0
May 20, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Sportivo Italiano
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Martin Burzaco Compare
Top Goalscorer Lezcano L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Sportivo Italiano Compare
Top Goalscorer De Cuadro J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Martin Burzaco 37 / 100
Sportivo Italiano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Martin Burzaco Sportivo Italiano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Italiano has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
San Martin Burzaco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
San Martin Burzaco found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
San Martin Burzaco VS Sportivo Italiano
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Martin Burzaco
(Home) 25 Jul
Deportivo Camioneros
2 : 0 San Martin Burzaco
18 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
14 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
10 Jul
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0 San Martin Burzaco
05 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1 CSD Liniers
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
05 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1 CSD Liniers
12 Jun
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 2 Villa Dalmine
31 May
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
16 May
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 2 Talleres Remedios Escalada
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Italiano
(Away) 25 Jul
Ituzaingo
0 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
18 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
14 Jul
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 0 Villa San Carlos
10 Jul
CSD Liniers
0 : 1 Sportivo Italiano
05 Jul
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 1 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Ituzaingo
0 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
18 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
10 Jul
CSD Liniers
0 : 1 Sportivo Italiano
28 Jun
UAI Urquiza
0 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
20 Jun
Villa Dalmine
2 : 1 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 31:13 | 52 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 37:19 | 51 |
| 3 | Excursionistas | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 38:18 | 50 |
| 4 | Deportivo Camioneros | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 33:17 | 50 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 30:14 | 49 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 27:21 | 45 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 31:30 | 40 |
| 8 | Comunicaciones | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 38 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 30:31 | 38 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:32 | 38 |
| 11 | Dep. Merlo | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:40 | 36 |
| 12 | Argentino de Merlo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:25 | 35 |
| 13 | San Martin Burzaco | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 26:25 | 35 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 27:25 | 32 |
| 15 | Argentino de Quilmes | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 16 | CSD Liniers | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 18:27 | 28 |
| 17 | Flandria | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21:33 | 27 |
| 18 | Brown Adrogue | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | 27 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 21:30 | 26 |
| 20 | Villa San Carlos | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 26:34 | 25 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 27 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 13:23 | 25 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:45 | 11 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
