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San Martin Burzaco vs UAI Urquiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Martin Burzaco host UAI Urquiza in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. San Martin Burzaco have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against UAI Urquiza's 0.54 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, San Martin Burzaco have won 2 to UAI Urquiza's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.13) back San Martin Burzaco to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
San Martin Burzaco
30%
Draws
37%
UAI Urquiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UAI Urquiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Martin Burzaco lately — more wins on the board than UAI Urquiza.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 20%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Burzaco UAI Urquiza
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 14
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.93 0.54
Goals Conceded 1.18 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs San Martin Burzaco
0:0
Oct 11, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs UAI Urquiza
5:0
May 24, 2025 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs San Martin Burzaco
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs San Martin Burzaco
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs UAI Urquiza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Burzaco 32 / 100
UAI Urquiza 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Burzaco UAI Urquiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UAI Urquiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UAI Urquiza conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: San Martin Burzaco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: San Martin Burzaco scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Burzaco VS UAI Urquiza
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin Burzaco

(Home)
17 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1
Excursionistas
10 Oct
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1
San Martin Burzaco
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
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UAI Urquiza

(Away)
17 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 1
UAI Urquiza
12 Oct
UAI Urquiza
1 : 0
Real Pilar
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 40 23 9 8 64:31 78
2 Arsenal Sarandi 40 20 13 7 53:26 73
3 Sportivo Italiano 40 19 12 9 47:29 69
4 Talleres Remedios Escalada 40 19 11 10 42:26 68
5 Deportivo Camioneros 40 18 13 9 47:32 67
6 Villa Dalmine 40 17 14 9 39:27 65
7 Deportivo Armenio 40 17 11 12 42:38 62
8 Real Pilar 40 17 11 12 42:39 62
9 Comunicaciones 40 14 15 11 39:34 57
10 Laferrere 40 14 13 13 49:52 55
11 San Martin Burzaco 40 12 15 13 41:45 51
12 Villa San Carlos 40 12 14 14 40:43 50
13 Dep. Merlo 40 11 15 14 39:53 48
14 Dock Sud 40 11 14 15 41:45 47
15 CSD Liniers 40 10 15 15 33:41 45
16 Flandria 40 12 9 19 36:48 45
17 Argentino de Merlo 40 11 11 18 36:44 44
18 Argentino de Quilmes 40 9 17 14 32:40 44
19 Brown Adrogue 40 9 16 15 25:37 43
20 Defensores Unidos 40 9 15 16 33:40 42
21 UAI Urquiza 40 6 21 13 23:36 39
22 Ituzaingo 40 1 14 25 27:64 17
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)