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San Martin de Yacuiba vs Tiquipaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
San Martin de Yacuiba
15%
Draws
53%
Tiquipaya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tiquipaya have won more games recently than San Martin de Yacuiba.
  • Tiquipaya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Tiquipaya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor San Martin de Yacuiba, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Martin de Yacuiba here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
San Martin de Yacuiba Clean Sheet 12%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin de Yacuiba Tiquipaya
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 0 9
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Tiquipaya
4:0
Sep 12, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs San Martin de Yacuiba
5:0
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
San Martin de Yacuiba vs Tiquipaya
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin de Yacuiba 22 / 100
Tiquipaya 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin de Yacuiba Tiquipaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tiquipaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Tiquipaya let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: San Martin de Yacuiba scored in 57% of their last 7 outings.

San Martin de Yacuiba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin de Yacuiba VS Tiquipaya
1.43 Goals Scored 2.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.25
43% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin de Yacuiba

(Home)
11 Oct
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 0
Tiquipaya
27 Sept
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 1
Universitario Beni
20 Sept
Virginia
1 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
06 Sept
San Martin de Yacuiba
0 : 1
Virginia
Page 1 of 2

Tiquipaya

(Away)
11 Oct
San Martin de Yacuiba
4 : 0
Tiquipaya
27 Sept
Virginia
1 : 1
Tiquipaya
19 Sept
Tiquipaya
6 : 0
Universitario Beni
12 Sept
Tiquipaya
5 : 0
San Martin de Yacuiba
05 Sept
Universitario Beni
1 : 2
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)