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San Martin Formosa vs Bartolome Mitre

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 17 De Octubre
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Martin Formosa host Bartolome Mitre in the Torneo Federal. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: San Martin Formosa at 2.38 goals for, 1.5 against; Bartolome Mitre at 1.13 for, 0.38 against. Head-to-head, San Martin Formosa have won 1 to Bartolome Mitre's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.31) point toward San Martin Formosa. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
San Martin Formosa
40%
Draws
29%
Bartolome Mitre
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin Formosa have won more games recently than Bartolome Mitre.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 18%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Formosa Bartolome Mitre
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Bartolome Mitre
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Formosa 32 / 100
Bartolome Mitre 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Formosa Bartolome Mitre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Formosa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: San Martin Formosa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Bartolome Mitre conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Formosa VS Bartolome Mitre
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512