Sport Picks
San Martin Formosa vs Bartolome Mitre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal 17 De Octubre, Formosa 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Espindola M. In: Arregui L.
Out: Espindola M.
58'
58'
Sub
Romero W. In: Medina M.
Out: Romero W.
63'
63'
Sub
Aquino A. In: Lopez A.
Out: Aquino A.
AI Match Summary
San Martin Formosa in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin Formosa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin Formosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Martin Formosa have won more games recently than Bartolome Mitre.
- San Martin Formosa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 68%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Martin Formosa | Bartolome Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa
0:0
Jul 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Bartolome Mitre
1:0
May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Bartolome Mitre
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Martin Formosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Monin F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Bartolome Mitre Compare
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Martin Formosa 95 / 100
Bartolome Mitre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Martin Formosa Bartolome Mitre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Martin Formosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Martin Formosa's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Solid form: San Martin Formosa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Bartolome Mitre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Defensive concern: Bartolome Mitre conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
San Martin Formosa VS Bartolome Mitre
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
San Martin Formosa
(Home) 04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1 Biblioteca Atenas
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1 San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1 Biblioteca Atenas
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
12 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
02 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 Sol de America
Page 1 of 3
Bartolome Mitre
(Away) 20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3 Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
16 Aug
Sol de America
2 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
02 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
26 Jul
San Martin Formosa
1 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
