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San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 17 De Octubre, Formosa
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Olimpo Bahia Blanca have shipped 0.45 goals a game lately, while San Martin Formosa have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, San Martin Formosa have won 0 to Olimpo Bahia Blanca's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 19, 2024, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.81, favoring Olimpo Bahia Blanca. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
San Martin Formosa
35%
Draws
32%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • San Martin Formosa have won more games recently than Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
  • San Martin Formosa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • San Martin Formosa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpo Bahia Blanca, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Formosa Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.52 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 Torneo Federal
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Formosa 40 / 100
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Formosa Olimpo Bahia Blanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin Formosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Formosa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: San Martin Formosa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Formosa VS Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin Formosa

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1
Biblioteca Atenas
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1
San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0
San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 6

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

(Away)
04 Oct
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 1
Cipolletti
30 Aug
Biblioteca Atenas
1 : 0
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
San Martin Formosa 2
Biblioteca Atenas 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 4
Alvarado 4
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 2
Cipolletti 6
Sol de America 2
Semi-finals
San Martin Formosa -
Olimpo Bahia Blanca -
Alvarado -
Cipolletti -
Final
TBD -
TBD -