Sport Picks
San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentina
Torneo Federal 17 De Octubre, Formosa 
Match Events
12'
12'
Sanchez Arriola M.
26'
26'
Griego A.
Own Goal
32'
32'
Sub
Finardi B. In: Perez F.
Out: Finardi B.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between San Martin Formosa and Sarmiento de La Banda finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Formosa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and San Martin Formosa come out ahead of Sarmiento de La Banda on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 16%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Martin Formosa | Sarmiento de La Banda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs San Martin Formosa
2:0
May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda
4:2
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs San Martin Formosa
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs San Martin Formosa
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Martin Formosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Tapia R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Leiva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Sarmiento de La Banda Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz Cantoni M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Martin Formosa 36 / 100
Sarmiento de La Banda 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Martin Formosa Sarmiento de La Banda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Martin Formosa's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
San Martin Formosa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Sarmiento de La Banda conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
San Martin Formosa VS Sarmiento de La Banda
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Martin Formosa
(Home) 12 Jul
Sarmiento de La Banda
2 : 0 San Martin Formosa
05 Jul
San Martin Formosa
0 : 0 Juventud Antoniana
28 Jun
Sol de America
1 : 2 San Martin Formosa
21 Jun
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
14 Jun
Boca Unidos
3 : 1 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
San Martin Formosa
0 : 0 Juventud Antoniana
21 Jun
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento Resistencia
07 Jun
San Martin Formosa
3 : 2 Tucuman Central
10 May
San Martin Formosa
4 : 2 Sarmiento de La Banda
26 Apr
San Martin Formosa
1 : 0 Sol de America
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento de La Banda
(Away) 12 Jul
Sarmiento de La Banda
2 : 0 San Martin Formosa
04 Jul
Defensores de Vilelas
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
28 Jun
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
13 Jun
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
07 Jun
Sarmiento de La Banda
2 : 0 Sol de America
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Defensores de Vilelas
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
13 Jun
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
31 May
Sarmiento Resistencia
0 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
10 May
San Martin Formosa
4 : 2 Sarmiento de La Banda
26 Apr
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportivo Belgrano | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 19:7 | 29 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 20:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 15:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:18 | 26 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 11:12 | 23 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19:27 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Gimnasia E.R. | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:17 | 17 |
| 10 | El Linqueno | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:21 | 16 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24:19 | 27 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 13:6 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 13:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:22 | 12 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12:13 | 22 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Costa Brava | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12:12 | 18 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 10:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Juventud U.U. | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Deportivo Rincon | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:16 | 16 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 11:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 14:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 11:5 | 22 |
| 5 | Germinal | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:20 | 14 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7:15 | 12 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)