Sport Picks
San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal 17 De Octubre, Formosa 
Match Events
10'
10'
Tapia R.
16'
16'
Juarez N.
19'
19'
Tapia R.
AI Match Summary
San Martin Formosa in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin Formosa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Martin Formosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Martin Formosa lately — more wins on the board than Sarmiento de La Banda.
- San Martin Formosa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento de La Banda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Martin Formosa | Sarmiento de La Banda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3:0
Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs San Martin Formosa
2:0
May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda
4:2
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sarmiento de La Banda vs San Martin Formosa
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Martin Formosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Tapia R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Siergiejuk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Sarmiento de La Banda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Martin Formosa 95 / 100
Sarmiento de La Banda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Martin Formosa Sarmiento de La Banda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Martin Formosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Martin Formosa found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Sarmiento de La Banda has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
San Martin Formosa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Martin Formosa VS Sarmiento de La Banda
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Martin Formosa
(Home) 04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1 Biblioteca Atenas
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1 San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1 Biblioteca Atenas
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
12 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
02 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 Sol de America
Page 1 of 3
Sarmiento de La Banda
(Away) 20 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
08 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
26 Jul
Tucuman Central
1 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
