Sport Picks
San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal 17 De Octubre, Formosa 
Match Events
15'
15'
Nunez G.
46'
46'
Sub
Lehmann A. In: Contreras P.
Out: Lehmann A.
64'
64'
Piris O.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between San Martin Formosa and Sportivo Belgrano finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Formosa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Martin Formosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and San Martin Formosa come out ahead of Sportivo Belgrano on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on San Martin Formosa taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Belgrano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Martin Formosa | Sportivo Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs San Martin Formosa
3:0
Sep 7, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs San Martin Formosa
3:0
Oct 3, 2022 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Belgrano vs San Martin Formosa
2:1
Jun 23, 2022 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sportivo Belgrano
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Martin Formosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Nunez G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piris O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Sportivo Belgrano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Martin Formosa 95 / 100
Sportivo Belgrano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Martin Formosa Sportivo Belgrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Martin Formosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
San Martin Formosa found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
San Martin Formosa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Sportivo Belgrano registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Martin Formosa VS Sportivo Belgrano
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Martin Formosa
(Home) 04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1 Biblioteca Atenas
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1 San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0 San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1 Biblioteca Atenas
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
12 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
02 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 Sol de America
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Belgrano
(Away) 13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4 Douglas Haig
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0 Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
17 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
23 Aug
Sarmiento de La Banda
3 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
12 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
01 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
12 Jul
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
