Sport Picks
San Martin Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio General Jose de San Martin, San Martin 
Match Events
35'
35'
Rivarola F.
40'
40'
Sub
Alderete R. P. In: Portino G.
Out: Alderete R. P.
40'
40'
Sub
Carrasco D. In: Rossi J.
Out: Carrasco D.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between San Martin Mendoza and Deportivo Rincon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Mendoza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Deportivo Rincon carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
San Martin Mendoza Clean Sheet 24%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Martin Mendoza | Deportivo Rincon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon
1:0
Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon
1:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs San Martin Mendoza
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs San Martin Mendoza
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Martin Mendoza Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivarola F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Deportivo Rincon Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Martin Mendoza 37 / 100
Deportivo Rincon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Martin Mendoza Deportivo Rincon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Deportivo Rincon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Martin Mendoza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
San Martin Mendoza scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Deportivo Rincon let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
San Martin Mendoza VS Deportivo Rincon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Martin Mendoza
(Home) 10 Oct
San Martin Mendoza
0 : 2 Argentino MM
20 Sept
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1 San Martin Mendoza
29 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
0 : 2 Fundacion Amigos
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
San Martin Mendoza
0 : 2 Argentino MM
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0 Circulo Deportivo
29 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
0 : 2 Fundacion Amigos
16 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
13 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 1 Sol de Mayo
Page 1 of 3
Deportivo Rincon
(Away) 10 Oct
Deportivo Rincon
0 : 1 Kimberley
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0 Santamarina
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
06 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
1 : 1 Costa Brava
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
16 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
1 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
08 Aug
Sol de Mayo
2 : 4 Deportivo Rincon
25 Jul
Costa Brava
0 : 1 Deportivo Rincon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Gimnasia E.R. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | El Linqueno | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensores de Vilelas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5:16 | 6 |
| 9 | Tucuman Central | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Brava | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 4 | Fundacion Amigos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Germinal | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 10 | Santamarina | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
