Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan

San Martin S.J.

2 - 1

Deportivo Maipu

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Hachen G.

Assist: Funez N.

61'

Aguilera E.

62'

Sub

Rivarola F. In: Silva T.

Out: Rivarola F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin S.J. and Deportivo Maipu finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

San Martin S.J.

30%

Draws

34%

Deportivo Maipu

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin S.J.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Deportivo Maipu carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on San Martin S.J. taking it.
Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 20%

Deportivo Maipu Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Martin S.J.	Deportivo Maipu
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	10	11
Draws	8	7
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera Nacional

San Martin S.J. vs Deportivo Maipu

2:1

Jul 14, 2024 Primera Nacional

San Martin S.J. vs Deportivo Maipu

1:0

Feb 24, 2024 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.

0:2

Oct 29, 2023 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.

1:0

May 29, 2022 Primera Nacional

Deportivo Maipu vs San Martin S.J.

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Hachen G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Iachetti N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportivo Maipu Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 36 / 100

Deportivo Maipu 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Martin S.J. Deportivo Maipu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J. scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Deportivo Maipu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: San Martin S.J. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Deportivo Maipu

1.13 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J.

(Home)

12 Jul

Club Atletico Guemes

0 : 2

San Martin S.J.

05 Jul

San Martin S.J.

0 : 1

Chacarita Juniors

20 Jun

San Martin S.J.

2 : 0

Agropecuario

13 Jun

Gimnasia Jujuy

2 : 1

San Martin S.J.

31 May

Temperley

2 : 1

San Martin S.J.

Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Maipu

(Away)

17 Jul

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 0

San Martin T.

11 Jul

Atl. Rafaela

1 : 3

Deportivo Maipu

05 Jul

Deportivo Maipu

2 : 0

Agropecuario

21 Jun

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

14 Jun

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 1

Tristan Suarez

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)