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San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan
San Martin S.J. Logo

San Martin S.J.

1 - 0
FT
Nueva Chicago Logo

Nueva Chicago

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Aguilera E. In: Osores M.
Out: Aguilera E.
14'
Murillo F.
28'
Bergara M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin S.J. and Nueva Chicago finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
San Martin S.J.
20%
Draws
51%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nueva Chicago

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin S.J. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 31%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.03 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.
2:1
Aug 16, 2023 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.
0:0
Apr 6, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Nueva Chicago
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaurena S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Nueva Chicago Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 39 / 100
Nueva Chicago 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Nueva Chicago

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nueva Chicago Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J. found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Nueva Chicago's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

San Martin S.J. has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Nueva Chicago
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J.

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

Nueva Chicago

(Away)
05 Oct
Nueva Chicago
0 : 1
Deportivo Maipu
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
07 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 0
Quilmes
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)