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San Martin T. vs Agropecuario - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Veron M.
46'
Sub
Aguirre E. In: Aranda B.
Out: Aguirre E.
51'
Aranda B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin T. and Agropecuario finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin T..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Martin T.
20%
Draws
40%
Agropecuario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Martin T. come out ahead of Agropecuario on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Martin T. a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%
Agropecuario Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin T. Agropecuario
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Agropecuario
3:0
Apr 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs San Martin T.
2:0
Sep 17, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Agropecuario
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs San Martin T.
0:1
Jul 30, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Agropecuario
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Carabajal G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Agropecuario Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 68 / 100
Agropecuario 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin T. Agropecuario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin T. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin T. scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: San Martin T. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Agropecuario conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS Agropecuario
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin T.

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

Agropecuario

(Away)
10 Oct
Quilmes
0 : 1
Agropecuario
04 Oct
Agropecuario
0 : 0
Midland
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Agropecuario
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)