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San Martin T. vs Club Atletico Guemes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Sala S. G.
Assist: Melillan F.
20'
Galvan A.
26'
Garcia M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
San Martin T.
15%
Draws
0%
Club Atletico Guemes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Martin T.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Martin T. lately — more wins on the board than Club Atletico Guemes.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on San Martin T. taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%
Club Atletico Guemes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin T. Club Atletico Guemes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin T.
0:2
Jul 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
Club Atletico Guemes vs San Martin T.
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Club Atletico Guemes
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Club Atletico Guemes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Club Atletico Guemes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sala S. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 95 / 100
Club Atletico Guemes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin T. Club Atletico Guemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin T. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Guemes let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Club Atletico Guemes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

San Martin T. found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS Club Atletico Guemes
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin T.

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

Club Atletico Guemes

(Away)
04 Oct
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 1
Colegiales
26 Sept
Quilmes
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)