Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin T. vs Deportivo Madryn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman
San Martin T. Logo

San Martin T.

2 - 2
FT
Deportivo Madryn Logo

Deportivo Madryn

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Diarte L.
16' Event
Cabrera B.
Assist: Carabajal G.
25'
Graneros A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin T. and Deportivo Madryn finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Martin T.
20%
Draws
40%
Deportivo Madryn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo Madryn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Martin T. are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin T. Deportivo Madryn
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Deportivo Madryn
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin T.
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin T.
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Deportivo Madryn
0:0
Feb 26, 2022 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin T.
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Deportivo Madryn Compare

Top Goalscorer Corvalan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silba L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 46 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin T. Deportivo Madryn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin T. found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Deportivo Madryn has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Martin T. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS Deportivo Madryn
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin T.

(Home)
11 Oct
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
San Martin T.
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Madryn

(Away)
11 Oct
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2
Chaco For Ever
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0
Racing Cordoba
14 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)