Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin T. vs Nueva Chicago

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Rodriguez L.
24' Event
Ovando L.
Assist: Castro N.
31' Event
Lopez K.

AI Match Summary

San Martin T. in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin T..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
San Martin T.
17%
Draws
13%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Martin T.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Nueva Chicago haven't matched San Martin T.'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans San Martin T.'s way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin T. Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Nueva Chicago
2:0
Jun 25, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Nueva Chicago
1:1
Feb 20, 2023 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin T.
1:0
Mar 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin T.
0:0
Aug 30, 2021 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Nueva Chicago
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovando L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nueva Chicago Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 77 / 100
Nueva Chicago 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin T. Nueva Chicago

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

San Martin T. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Martin T.'s goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nueva Chicago let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS Nueva Chicago
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419