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San Miguel vs Ciudad Bolivar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires
San Miguel Logo

San Miguel

1 - 2
FT
Ciudad Bolivar Logo

Ciudad Bolivar

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gutierrez M.
Assist: Carrion A.
4'
Peralta F.
37'
Gonzalez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Bolivar in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Bolivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
San Miguel
20%
Draws
69%
Ciudad Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad Bolivar lately — more wins on the board than San Miguel.
  • Model gives Ciudad Bolivar a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 17%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Ciudad Bolivar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Ciudad Bolivar
1:2
May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs San Miguel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ciudad Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 20 / 100
Ciudad Bolivar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Ciudad Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Bolivar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

San Miguel scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Ciudad Bolivar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: San Miguel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Ciudad Bolivar
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
17 Oct
San Miguel
1 : 2
Ciudad Bolivar
11 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 1
San Miguel
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
Page 1 of 6

Ciudad Bolivar

(Away)
17 Oct
San Miguel
1 : 2
Ciudad Bolivar
11 Oct
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
San Telmo
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)