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San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Miguel host Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: San Miguel at 0.75 goals for, 1.32 against; Deportivo Madryn at 1.46 for, 0.89 against. Past meetings favor Deportivo Madryn slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.44, favoring Deportivo Madryn. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
San Miguel
35%
Draws
52%
Deportivo Madryn
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Madryn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Madryn come out ahead of San Miguel on wins alone.
  • Deportivo Madryn are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Madryn Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Deportivo Madryn
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs San Miguel
2:2
Jul 5, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs San Miguel
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Madryn vs San Miguel
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 28 / 100
Deportivo Madryn 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Deportivo Madryn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Madryn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Miguel scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Madryn conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: San Miguel remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Deportivo Madryn
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
17 Oct
San Miguel
1 : 2
Ciudad Bolivar
11 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 1
San Miguel
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Madryn

(Away)
17 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
11 Oct
Deportivo Madryn
1 : 2
Chaco For Ever
02 Oct
Ferro
0 : 2
Deportivo Madryn
26 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
0 : 0
Central Norte
20 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 0
Racing Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)