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San Miguel vs Estrella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Miguel host Estrella in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This one's hard to separate. San Miguel have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Estrella's 0.97 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, San Miguel have won 1 to Estrella's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.65 vs 1.17, favoring San Miguel. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
San Miguel
20%
Draws
33%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Miguel lately — more wins on the board than Estrella.
  • Model gives San Miguel a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Estrella
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs San Miguel
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Estrella
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 85 / 100
Estrella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Miguel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: San Miguel scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Estrella let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: San Miguel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Estrella
1.5 Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
09 Oct
Anaza
0 : 2
San Miguel
03 Oct
San Miguel
2 : 0
Tenerife C
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
Page 1 of 7

Estrella

(Away)
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
2 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
3 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
4 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
6 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
7 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
11 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
12 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
14 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)