Sport Picks
San Miguel vs Estrella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
San Miguel host Estrella in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This one's hard to separate. San Miguel have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Estrella's 0.97 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, San Miguel have won 1 to Estrella's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.65 vs 1.17, favoring San Miguel. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to San Miguel lately — more wins on the board than Estrella.
- Model gives San Miguel a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Miguel | Estrella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: San Miguel scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Estrella let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: San Miguel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
San Miguel
(Home)Estrella
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Real Union Tenerife | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 4 | Mensajero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 5 | Las Palmas C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 6 | San Bartolome | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 7 | CD Marino | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Panaderia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Los Llanos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Lanzarote | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 | Villa Santa Brigida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 13 | Tenerife C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Union Sur Yaiza | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 16 | CD Laguna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 18 | UD Playas de Sotavento | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:15 | 1 |