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San Miguel vs Las Palmas C Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
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Match Events

79' Event
Maxi

AI Match Summary

San Miguel in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Miguel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
San Miguel
30%
Draws
33%
Las Palmas C
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Palmas C lately — more wins on the board than San Miguel.
  • Model gives San Miguel a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 20%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Las Palmas C
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs San Miguel
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Las Palmas C
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Maxi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Las Palmas C Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 36 / 100
Las Palmas C 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Las Palmas C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Miguel found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Las Palmas C conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

San Miguel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Las Palmas C
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1
Panaderia
Page 1 of 6

Las Palmas C

(Away)
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2
Las Palmas C
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)