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San Pedro Martir vs Real Sporting San Jose

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Pedro Martir play Real Sporting San Jose in the Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Pedro Martir averaged 0.33 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Real Sporting San Jose averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, San Pedro Martir won 1, Real Sporting San Jose won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 13, 2012 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for San Pedro Martir and 0.86 for Real Sporting San Jose. This points to a Real Sporting San Jose double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
San Pedro Martir
18%
Draws
45%
Real Sporting San Jose
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Real Sporting San Jose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • San Pedro Martir picked up more points recently compared to Real Sporting San Jose.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
San Pedro Martir Clean Sheet 25%
Real Sporting San Jose Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 42%
Second Half Goal 45%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Pedro Martir Real Sporting San Jose
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0.33 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Pedro Martir vs Real Sporting San Jose
2:1
Nov 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Real Sporting San Jose vs San Pedro Martir
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Pedro Martir 38 / 100
Real Sporting San Jose 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Pedro Martir Real Sporting San Jose

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Sporting San Jose or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Pedro Martir attacking → ← attacking Real Sporting San Jose

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Pedro Martir scored in 23% of their last 30 games.

Real Sporting San Jose let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

San Pedro Martir went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Real Sporting San Jose lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 20
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CD Marino38237877:3576
2SD Tenisca382261060:4172
3Las Palmas B382011768:2971
4Vera CD382010868:4070
5Lanzarote38209950:3469
6Atletico Granadilla381981155:3765
7Estrella381891147:3463
8Tenerife B3816111170:5359
9Corralejo3816101249:4558
10Telde381661655:5254
11San Pedro Martir3811141350:5947
12UD San Andres y Sauces381371847:6546
13Mensajero381361954:6345
14Villa Santa Brigida381291756:6645
15Atletico Victoria3811121545:6245
16Las Zocas381181946:6041
17Tijarafe381152239:6738
18CD Laguna381072135:5537
19Real Sporting San Jose38882236:6832
20CD Charco Del Pino38572636:7822