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San Roque de Cadiz vs CD Gerena

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016
San Roque de Cadiz Logo

San Roque de Cadiz

1 - 1
FT
CD Gerena Logo

CD Gerena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
San Roque de Cadiz
15%
Draws
28%
CD Gerena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Roque de Cadiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Gerena lately — more wins on the board than San Roque de Cadiz.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
San Roque de Cadiz Clean Sheet 12%
CD Gerena Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Roque de Cadiz CD Gerena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Cadiz vs CD Gerena
0:1
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs San Roque de Cadiz
3:1
Dec 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Cadiz vs CD Gerena
1:1
Aug 23, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs San Roque de Cadiz
2:2
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs San Roque de Cadiz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Roque de Cadiz 30 / 100
CD Gerena 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Roque de Cadiz CD Gerena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Gerena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gerena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: CD Gerena registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

San Roque de Cadiz found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

San Roque de Cadiz VS CD Gerena
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Roque de Cadiz

(Home)
25 Jul
San Roque de Cadiz
1 : 0
AD Ceuta
27 Jul
San Roque de Cadiz
2 : 1
Algeciras
11 May
San Roque de Cadiz
2 : 3
Lebrijana
06 May
Ecija
3 : 0
San Roque de Cadiz
30 Apr
San Roque de Cadiz
0 : 3
Betis B
Page 1 of 6

CD Gerena

(Away)
14 May
Coria C.F.
4 : 1
CD Gerena
07 May
CD Gerena
0 : 1
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Los Barrios
2 : 1
CD Gerena
23 Apr
CD Gerena
4 : 1
Castilleja CF
08 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
3 : 1
CD Gerena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cordoba B 40 27 4 9 90:42 85
2 Sanluqueno 40 23 10 7 71:34 79
3 CD San Fernando 40 21 12 7 69:30 75
4 CD Alcala 40 21 10 9 59:33 73
5 CD Gerena 40 16 13 11 65:46 61
6 AD Ceuta 40 14 16 10 47:43 58
7 Arcos CF 40 15 13 12 44:43 58
8 Sevilla C 40 13 16 11 43:44 55
9 Castilleja CF 40 15 10 15 49:54 55
10 Los Barrios 40 16 7 17 54:56 55
11 CD Guadalcacin 40 13 15 12 42:50 54
12 Ecija 40 14 10 16 58:54 52
13 CD Utrera 40 14 10 16 70:76 52
14 San Roque de Cadiz 40 12 14 14 46:52 50
15 Lebrijana 40 13 10 17 45:59 49
16 Cabecense 40 12 13 15 49:57 49
17 Coria C.F. 40 10 18 12 38:39 48
18 CMD San Juan 40 14 6 20 42:53 48
19 Conil 40 10 9 21 41:65 39
20 Rotena 40 9 9 22 43:73 36
21 Ciudad de Lucena 40 2 7 31 19:81 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)