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San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Okoro C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between San Roque de Lepe and AD Ceuta B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Ceuta B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
San Roque de Lepe
20%
Draws
64%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Ceuta B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AD Ceuta B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives San Roque de Lepe a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 17%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Roque de Lepe AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta B
1:1
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta B
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs San Roque de Lepe
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs San Roque de Lepe
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Roque de Lepe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoro C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Roque de Lepe 36 / 100
AD Ceuta B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Roque de Lepe AD Ceuta B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Roque de Lepe's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AD Ceuta B has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

AD Ceuta B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Roque de Lepe VS AD Ceuta B
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Roque de Lepe

(Home)
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1
San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
03 May
Cordoba B
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
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AD Ceuta B

(Away)
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2
AD Ceuta B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)