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San Sebastian Reyes B vs Real Aranjuez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Velasco J.
34' Event
Martin J.
48' Event
Campos D.

AI Match Summary

Real Aranjuez in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Aranjuez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Sebastian Reyes B
15%
Draws
49%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Aranjuez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes B have won more games recently than Real Aranjuez.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Sebastian Reyes B Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes B Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 3
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.39 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Sebastian Reyes B vs Real Aranjuez
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Real Aranjuez Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasco J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campos D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes B 32 / 100
Real Aranjuez 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes B Real Aranjuez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes B found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Real Aranjuez conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Real Aranjuez lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes B VS Real Aranjuez
1.5 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes B

(Home)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5
Real Aranjuez
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 3
CP Parla Escuela
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
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Real Aranjuez

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5
Real Aranjuez
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)