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San Sebastian Reyes vs Real Avila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lopez A.
87' Event
Arribas J.
90'
Castri

AI Match Summary

San Sebastian Reyes in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Sebastian Reyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
San Sebastian Reyes
15%
Draws
32%
Real Avila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Sebastian Reyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes have won more games recently than Real Avila.
  • Win probability leans San Sebastian Reyes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • San Sebastian Reyes have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 68%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes Real Avila
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
San Sebastian Reyes vs Real Avila
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Club Friendly
San Sebastian Reyes vs Real Avila
4:0
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
San Sebastian Reyes vs Real Avila
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arribas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Real Avila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes 95 / 100
Real Avila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes Real Avila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Sebastian Reyes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

San Sebastian Reyes found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Real Avila has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

San Sebastian Reyes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes VS Real Avila
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes

(Home)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
26 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0
Valladolid Promesas
06 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
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Real Avila

(Away)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0
Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salamanca CF UDS 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
3 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
4 CF Talavera 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
5 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
6 San Sebastian Reyes 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
7 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Guadalajara 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
13 Atletico Tordesillas 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
14 Atletico Paso 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
15 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
16 Real Madrid C 6 0 4 2 1:4 4
17 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
18 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)