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San Sebastian Reyes vs Valladolid Promesas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Arribas J.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 game between San Sebastian Reyes and Valladolid Promesas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Sebastian Reyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Sebastian Reyes
20%
Draws
40%
Valladolid Promesas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valladolid Promesas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 16%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes Valladolid Promesas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
San Sebastian Reyes vs Valladolid Promesas
1:0
May 1, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
San Sebastian Reyes vs Valladolid Promesas
1:1
Sep 18, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs San Sebastian Reyes
2:2
Jan 13, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
San Sebastian Reyes vs Valladolid Promesas
1:0
Aug 26, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Valladolid Promesas vs San Sebastian Reyes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Arribas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Valladolid Promesas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes 28 / 100
Valladolid Promesas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes Valladolid Promesas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladolid Promesas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Valladolid Promesas let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: San Sebastian Reyes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes VS Valladolid Promesas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes

(Home)
10 Oct
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
26 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0
Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 6

Valladolid Promesas

(Away)
11 Oct
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
27 Sept
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1
Albacete B
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0
Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salamanca CF UDS 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
2 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
3 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
4 CF Talavera 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
5 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
6 San Sebastian Reyes 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
7 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Guadalajara 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
13 Atletico Tordesillas 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
14 Atletico Paso 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
15 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
16 Real Madrid C 6 0 4 2 1:4 4
17 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
18 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)