Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Telmo vs Acassuso

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Osvaldo Baletto
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Motroni J.
13' Event
Batallini M.
Assist: Motroni J.
21'
Pioli L.

AI Match Summary

Acassuso in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Acassuso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
San Telmo
28%
Draws
22%
Acassuso
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Acassuso have won more games recently than San Telmo.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on San Telmo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 68%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Telmo Acassuso
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs San Telmo
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Acassuso
2:3
May 16, 2020 Primera B
San Telmo vs Acassuso
0:0
Dec 7, 2019 Primera B
Acassuso vs San Telmo
0:1
Apr 10, 2019 Primera B
Acassuso vs San Telmo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Motroni J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Batallini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Acassuso Compare

Top Goalscorer Reynoso R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Escalante D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Telmo 59 / 100
Acassuso 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Telmo Acassuso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acassuso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: San Telmo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Acassuso registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Telmo VS Acassuso
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419